Variance Risk Premium Components and International Stock Return Predictability

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia: Statistical Inference and International Evidence∗

Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium, or the difference between risk-neutral and statistical expectations of the future return variation, predicts aggregate stock market returns, with the predictability especially strong at the 2-4 month horizons. We provide extensive Monte Carlo simulation evidence that statistical finite sample biases in the overlapping return reg...

متن کامل

International Stock Return Predictability under Model Uncertainty

This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive international dataset, we find that interest-rate related variables are usually among the most prominent predict...

متن کامل

International stock return predictability under model uncertainty

This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive international dataset, we find that interest-rate related variables are usually among the most prominent predict...

متن کامل

International Stock Return Predictability: Evidence from New Statistical Tests

We investigate whether stock returns of international markets are predictable from a range of fundamentals including key financial ratios (dividend-price ratio, dividendyield, earnings-price ratio, dividend-payout ratio), technical indicators (price pressure, change in volume), and short-term interest rates. We adopt two new alternative testing and estimation methods: the improved augmented reg...

متن کامل

Stock-Return Predictability and Asset Pricing Models

The regression of stock returns on predictive variables, such as dividend yield, has proven useful in optimal portfolio selection when investment opportunities are timevarying. Conditional versions of factor models impose a restriction on that regression, thereby implying a particular portfolio choice. The study examines several pricing models from a perspective of conditional mean-variance opt...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal

سال: 2019

ISSN: 1556-5068

DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3366592